Spjelkavik 0-1 Hodd II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.18
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
22%
Over 2.5
78%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
10%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
29%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
80%
-8.7pp
14%
Draw
11%
+2.8pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.9pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spjelkavik EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Hodd II EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
2.78/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/3.42
-17% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
375 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spjelkavik
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Hodd II
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2024 Hodd II Hodd II 3-3 HT 1-1 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik NOR4
03.09.2023 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik 2-0 HT 1-0 Hodd II Hodd II NOR4
08.05.2023 Hodd II Hodd II 2-1 HT 1-0 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik NOR4
29.08.2022 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik 4-1 HT 3-0 Hodd II Hodd II NOR4
23.05.2022 Hodd II Hodd II 2-2 HT 0-1 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik NOR4
POST-MATCH Spjelkavik vs Hodd II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd II squeezed past Spjelkavik 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Spjelkavik at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (78%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Spjelkavik had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Spjelkavik and 1.60 for Hodd II.

What was the final score of Spjelkavik vs Hodd II?

Spjelkavik 0-1 Hodd II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spjelkavik vs Hodd II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spjelkavik win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Spjelkavik 71%, draw 14%, Hodd II 15%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spjelkavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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