27/10/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Vindbjart vs Vigor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
85%
19%
Draw
9%
17%
Away Win
6%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vindbjart v Vigor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vindbjart
EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vigor
EU Bookmakers 9%
-17% /
-17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
3.04/1.65
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.49/4.00
-10%
/
-38%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-54%
/
-18%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
16
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
381 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
200 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.8
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Vindbjart vs Vigor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vindbjart cruised past Vigor 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vindbjart as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Vindbjart vs Vigor?
Vindbjart 3-0 Vigor in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vindbjart vs Vigor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vindbjart win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Vindbjart 64%, draw 19%, Vigor 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vindbjart), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Vindbjart)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
27 Oct 2024