Stal Stalowa Wola 1-1 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

Stal Stalowa Wola
1-1 HT 0-0
Polonia Warszawa
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stal Stalowa Wola v Polonia Warszawa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 43%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
0.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/1.12
-62% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +118% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4

Stal Stalowa Wola 1-1 Polonia Warszawa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
1-1
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
7 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola and Polonia Warszawa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Polonia Warszawa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 52% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 48%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs Polonia Warszawa?

Stal Stalowa Wola 1-1 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 29%, draw 26%, Polonia Warszawa 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Polonia Warszawa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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