Western Suburbs vs Napier Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Western Suburbs v Napier — Team-Based Signals
Western Suburbs 2-4 Napier — Actual Match Statistics
Napier beat Western Suburbs 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Napier as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%) came in.
On the day, Western Suburbs had 57% of the ball to Napier's 43%, shots finished 21-13.
What was the final score of Western Suburbs vs Napier?
Western Suburbs 2-4 Napier in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Western Suburbs vs Napier?
Before kick-off our model rated an Napier win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Western Suburbs 36%, draw 18%, Napier 46%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napier), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.