Perugia 2-0 Livorno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Oct 2025

Perugia
2 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Livorno
📅27/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
24%
3.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.65
Over
42%
2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.97
No
51%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Perugia The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY Livorno The Market 30%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.40 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.83
1.11 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.58
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Bad
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Livorno
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.47 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
339 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2020 Perugia Perugia 1-0 HT 1-0 Livorno Livorno İTB
31.08.2019 Livorno Livorno 0-1 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTB
30.03.2019 Perugia Perugia 3-1 HT 1-0 Livorno Livorno İTB
04.11.2018 Livorno Livorno 2-3 HT 2-1 Perugia Perugia İTB
07.05.2016 Livorno Livorno 1-1 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTB
18.12.2015 Perugia Perugia 4-1 HT 0-1 Livorno Livorno İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
2 - 0
AWAY Livorno
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Perugia vs Livorno
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Perugia put daylight between themselves and Livorno 2-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Perugia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (58%) came home.

Under the surface, Livorno saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Perugia against 0.83 for Livorno.

Perugia vs Livorno Result & Final Score

Perugia 2 - 0 Livorno in the Italy - Serie C on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Perugia vs Livorno Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Perugia 47%, draw 29%, Livorno 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Perugia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
27 Oct 2025
22:30 Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Triestina Analysis →
22:30 Internazionale II vs Cittadella Analysis →