Werder Bremen II 3-1 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Nov 2024

Werder Bremen II
3-1 HT 1-0
Phönix Lübeck
📅27/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Werder Bremen II vs Phönix Lübeck Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
46%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.96
Over 2.5
70%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.35
No
41%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
41%
-10.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
46%
Away Win
36%
+10.5pp
30%
Under 2.5
30%
+0.3pp
70%
Over 2.5
70%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
70%
-10.7pp
41%
BTTS No
30%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Werder Bremen II v Phönix Lübeck — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
2.20/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.05
+38% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Werder Bremen II vs Phönix Lübeck Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
01.02.2023 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 1-2 HT 0-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen II vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen II beat Phönix Lübeck 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Phönix Lübeck at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Werder Bremen II 3-1 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen II 30%, draw 23%, Phönix Lübeck 46%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →