Famalicao U23 1-0 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.0pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 28%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
1.72/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.08.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 0-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
25.11.2023 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
1-0
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 nicked a narrow win over Sporting Braga U23 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Famalicao U23 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 46% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 54%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Famalicao U23 and 0.50 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Famalicao U23 1-0 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 52%, draw 19%, Sporting Braga U23 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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