Alajuelense 1-1 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.40/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.04
-37% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.4 Crosses 8.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
1-1
AWAY Xelaju MC
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense and Xelaju MC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Alajuelense at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Alajuelense had 66% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 34%, shots finished 14-15.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Xelaju MC?

Alajuelense 1-1 Xelaju MC in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 59%, draw 21%, Xelaju MC 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alajuelense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ BTTS Yes
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