Arsenal 1-0 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 27 Dec 2024

Arsenal
1-0 HT 1-0
Ipswich Town
📅27/12/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Arsenal vs Ipswich Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.05
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
5.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.31
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
6%
32.0
X/1
18%
3.49
X/2
3%
32.5
X/X
7%
10.95
2/1
5%
23.85
2/2
6%
24.3
2/X
5%
30.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
80%
-10.6pp
18%
Draw
13%
+4.9pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal v Ipswich Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
2.35/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.16
+12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +41%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
536 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
47.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
20.6 Crosses 6.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.7

Arsenal vs Ipswich Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
The Meetings
25.01.2011 Arsenal Arsenal 3-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNLK
12.01.2011 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNLK
21.04.2002 Arsenal Arsenal 2-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
01.12.2001 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
10.02.2001 Arsenal Arsenal 1-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
23.09.2000 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP

Arsenal 1-0 Ipswich Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal
1-0
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.86 xG 0.15
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
604 Passes 256
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
40 Box Touches 5
18 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal nicked a narrow win over Ipswich Town 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Arsenal had 68% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 32%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.86 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arsenal's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arsenal and 0.33 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Arsenal vs Ipswich Town?

Arsenal 1-0 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 70%, draw 18%, Ipswich Town 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
27 Dec 2024
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