USM El Harrach 4-1 GC Mascara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 27 Dec 2025

📅27/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.22
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
78%
-0.4pp
13%
Draw
16%
-2.6pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+8.1pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY GC Mascara EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
2.11/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/2.08
+3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -17%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM El Harrach
0W-0D-1L
AWAY GC Mascara
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.01.2022 GC Mascara GC Mascara 1-0 HT 0-0 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM El Harrach
4-1
AWAY GC Mascara
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs GC Mascara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach ran out comfortable winners over GC Mascara 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM El Harrach had 50% of the ball to GC Mascara's 50%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs GC Mascara?

USM El Harrach 4-1 GC Mascara in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs GC Mascara?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 77%, draw 13%, GC Mascara 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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