Estoril vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Alverca — Team-Based Signals
Estoril 4-1 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril swept aside Alverca 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Estoril made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Estoril had 64% of the ball to Alverca's 36%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.47 to 0.82.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Alverca?
Estoril 4-1 Alverca in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Alverca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estoril 40%, draw 27%, Alverca 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.