Sarıyer 1-0 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Dec 2025

Sarıyer
1-0 HT 0-0
Bodrum FK
📅27/12/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
7%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 33% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.86
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
10%
6.81
X/2
17%
5.07
X/X
14%
4.73
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
17%
3.07
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sarıyer v Bodrum FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarıyer EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 48%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -24%
1.00/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-60% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
17.2 Crosses 14.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarıyer
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
The Meetings
31.10.2021 Sarıyer Sarıyer 1-2 HT 0-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK S2-K
27.10.2018 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 1-3 HT 1-2 Sarıyer Sarıyer S2-B
21.01.2018 Sarıyer Sarıyer 3-1 HT 2-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK S2-K
26.08.2017 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Sarıyer Sarıyer S2-K
21.09.2016 Sarıyer Sarıyer 1-0 HT 0-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK TÜK

Sarıyer 1-0 Bodrum FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarıyer
1-0
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.44 xG 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
249 Passes 333
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarıyer squeezed past Bodrum FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bodrum FK at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sarıyer had 44% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 56%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.44 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sarıyer had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Sarıyer and 1.00 for Bodrum FK.

What was the final score of Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK?

Sarıyer 1-0 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sarıyer 29%, draw 30%, Bodrum FK 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bodrum FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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