Cacereno (K) 1-0 SE AEM (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Women's Primera Federasyon League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
41%
3.28
Away
31%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
36%
4-5
28%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.1pp
41%
Draw
27%
+14.4pp
31%
Away Win
45%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno (K) The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY SE AEM (K) The Market 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
372 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno (K)
1-0
AWAY SE AEM (K)
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Cacereno (K) vs SE AEM (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno (K) edged past SE AEM (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cacereno (K) had 54% of the ball to SE AEM (K)'s 46%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Cacereno (K) vs SE AEM (K)?

Cacereno (K) 1-0 SE AEM (K) in the Spain - Women's Primera Federasyon League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno (K) vs SE AEM (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cacereno (K) 28%, draw 41%, SE AEM (K) 31%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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