Lecce U19 2-1 Verona U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce U19 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Verona U19 EU Bookmakers 36%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+92% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
367 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Verona U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 27
5 Shots on Target 13
27.08.2023 Verona U19 5-1 HT 1-0 Lecce U19 Lecce U19 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce U19
2-1
AWAY Verona U19
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lecce U19 vs Verona U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce U19 nicked a narrow win over Verona U19 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Verona U19 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lecce U19 had 42% of the ball to Verona U19's 58%, shots finished 8-17.

What was the final score of Lecce U19 vs Verona U19?

Lecce U19 2-1 Verona U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce U19 vs Verona U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Verona U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lecce U19 35%, draw 24%, Verona U19 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Verona U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Verona U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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