Cittadella 1-2 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Jan 2024

Cittadella
1-2 HT 0-0
Sampdoria
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Cittadella vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.4
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.15
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
10%
4.54
X/2
12%
6.53
X/X
11%
3.72
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
14%
5.27
2/X
10%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cittadella v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.32/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.55
-4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
23.8 Crosses 13.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.0

Cittadella vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sampdoria
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.42
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
278 Passes 474
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.09.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-2 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
24.03.2012 Cittadella Cittadella 1-2 HT 1-2 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
22.10.2011 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
14.04.2002 Cittadella Cittadella 1-1 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
21.11.2001 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-1 HT 0-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
11.03.2001 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB

Cittadella 1-2 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
1-2
AWAY Sampdoria
1.57 xG 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
250 Passes 222
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria edged past Cittadella 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cittadella at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cittadella had 51% of the ball to Sampdoria's 49%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.57 to 0.67 — on chances, Cittadella could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cittadella and 1.33 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Sampdoria?

Cittadella 1-2 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 41%, draw 27%, Sampdoria 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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