28/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Siracusa vs La Fenice Amaranto Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
49%
4-5
13%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
49%
25%
Draw
27%
30%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Siracusa v La Fenice Amaranto — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Siracusa
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
La Fenice Amaranto
The Market 28%
+42% /
+42%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+6% /
+6%
3.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.00
+150%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
354 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
259 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Siracusa vs La Fenice Amaranto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Siracusa squeezed past La Fenice Amaranto 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Siracusa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Siracusa vs La Fenice Amaranto?
Siracusa 1-0 La Fenice Amaranto in the Italy - Serie D on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Siracusa vs La Fenice Amaranto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Siracusa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Siracusa 45%, draw 25%, La Fenice Amaranto 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siracusa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Siracusa)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
28 Jan 2024