Como (K) 0-1 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
28%
+10.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
44%
-9.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
21.10.2023 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
0-1
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
0.47 xG 1.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
235 Passes 359
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 16
5 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) edged past Como (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Sassuolo (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Como (K) had 42% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 58%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.47 to 1.01.

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Como (K) 0-1 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 38%, draw 27%, Sassuolo (K) 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Como (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Como (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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