Sevilla (K) 3-0 Eibar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.42
Draw
33%
4.49
Away
33%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
67%
-33.6pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.6pp
33%
Away Win
13%
+20.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.86/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.91
+126% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
23.0 Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla (K)
3-0
AWAY Eibar (K)
0.92 xG 0.63
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
419 Passes 212
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
12 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla (K) vs Eibar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla (K) swept aside Eibar (K) 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sevilla (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sevilla (K) had 62% of the ball to Eibar (K)'s 38%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.92 to 0.63.

What was the final score of Sevilla (K) vs Eibar (K)?

Sevilla (K) 3-0 Eibar (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla (K) vs Eibar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Sevilla (K) 33%, draw 33%, Eibar (K) 33%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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