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Duisburg (K) vs Nürnberg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Duisburg (K) v Nürnberg (K) — Team-Based Signals
Duisburg (K) 1-2 Nürnberg (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Nürnberg (K) nicked a narrow win over Duisburg (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Duisburg (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Duisburg (K) had 45% of the ball to Nürnberg (K)'s 55%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.81 to 1.65.
What was the final score of Duisburg (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?
Duisburg (K) 1-2 Nürnberg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Duisburg (K) vs Nürnberg (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Duisburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Duisburg (K) 44%, draw 25%, Nürnberg (K) 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.