Manaus 2-1 Manauara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Amazonense, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
35%
3.64
Away
32%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
37%
4-5
20%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Draw — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.0pp
35%
Draw
24%
+11.0pp
32%
Away Win
49%
-17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manaus The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Manauara The Market 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manaus
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Manauara
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2023 Manauara 0-1 HT 0-0 Manaus Manaus BRAMAZ
20.03.2022 Manaus Manaus 1-1 HT 0-1 Manauara BRAMAZ
13.03.2022 Manauara 1-1 HT 1-1 Manaus Manaus BRAMAZ
05.03.2022 Manaus Manaus 4-0 HT 2-0 Manauara BRAMAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manaus
2-1
AWAY Manauara
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Manaus vs Manauara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manaus squeezed past Manauara 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 35% / 32%) promised a tight game; Manaus found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manaus had 45% of the ball to Manauara's 55%, shots finished 5-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Manaus had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Manaus and 0.50 for Manauara.

What was the final score of Manaus vs Manauara?

Manaus 2-1 Manauara in the Brazil - Amazonense on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manaus vs Manauara?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Manaus 33%, draw 35%, Manauara 32%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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