Planaltina DF 0-3 Ceilandia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Brasiliense, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
37%
4-5
19%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
35%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Planaltina DF The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceilandia The Market 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Planaltina DF vs Ceilandia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceilandia ran out comfortable winners over Planaltina DF 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Planaltina DF at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Planaltina DF vs Ceilandia?

Planaltina DF 0-3 Ceilandia in the Brazil - Brasiliense on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Planaltina DF vs Ceilandia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Planaltina DF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Planaltina DF 42%, draw 27%, Ceilandia 32%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Planaltina DF) ✗ BTTS Yes
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