Atletico Cearense 1-2 Ferroviario AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cearense 1, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
40%
4-5
29%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Cearense The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferroviario AC The Market 39%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.02
+56% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Cearense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ferroviario AC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2023 Ferroviario AC Ferroviario AC 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Cearense Atletico Cearense BRE4
03.06.2023 Atletico Cearense Atletico Cearense 0-2 HT 0-1 Ferroviario AC Ferroviario AC BRE4
25.01.2023 Ferroviario AC Ferroviario AC 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Cearense Atletico Cearense BRCAE1
23.04.2022 Atletico Cearense Atletico Cearense 0-1 HT 0-1 Ferroviario AC Ferroviario AC BRE3
05.02.2022 Ferroviario AC Ferroviario AC 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Cearense Atletico Cearense BRCAE1
15.01.2022 Atletico Cearense Atletico Cearense 1-3 HT 0-2 Ferroviario AC Ferroviario AC BRCAE1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Cearense
1-2
AWAY Ferroviario AC
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Atletico Cearense vs Ferroviario AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferroviario AC nicked a narrow win over Atletico Cearense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Cearense at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Cearense had 45% of the ball to Ferroviario AC's 55%, shots finished 6-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferroviario AC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Cearense and 1.50 for Ferroviario AC.

What was the final score of Atletico Cearense vs Ferroviario AC?

Atletico Cearense 1-2 Ferroviario AC in the Brazil - Cearense 1 on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Cearense vs Ferroviario AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Cearense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Cearense 43%, draw 28%, Ferroviario AC 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Cearense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Cearense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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