Maguary 3-1 CA Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Pernambucano 1, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.25
Draw
28%
5.71
Away
24%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
36%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
76%
-27.6pp
28%
Draw
15%
+13.2pp
24%
Away Win
10%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maguary The Market 80%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Porto The Market 12%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.50
-50% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maguary
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CA Porto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2023 CA Porto CA Porto 1-1 HT 0-1 Maguary Maguary BRPER1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maguary
3-1
AWAY CA Porto
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Maguary vs CA Porto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maguary beat CA Porto 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maguary as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maguary had 51% of the ball to CA Porto's 49%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Maguary vs CA Porto?

Maguary 3-1 CA Porto in the Brazil - Pernambucano 1 on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maguary vs CA Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maguary win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Maguary 48%, draw 28%, CA Porto 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maguary) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maguary) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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