Atletico Paranaense vs Aruko Sports Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Aruko Sports — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense vs Aruko Sports Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Aruko Sports — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense squeezed past Aruko Sports 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 62% of the ball to Aruko Sports's 38%, shots finished 21-8.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Aruko Sports?
Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Aruko Sports in the Brazil - Paranaense 1 on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Aruko Sports?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 45%, draw 24%, Aruko Sports 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.