28/01/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Kosta Rika vs Portuguesa MS Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
43%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
44%
Home Win
32%
22%
Draw
23%
33%
Away Win
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kosta Rika v Portuguesa MS — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kosta Rika
The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY
Portuguesa MS
The Market 49%
+24% /
+24%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-16% /
-16%
2.15/0.42
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
+79%
/
+136%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-35%
/
+30%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
402 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
342 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kosta Rika vs Portuguesa MS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kosta Rika saw off Portuguesa MS 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kosta Rika as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Kosta Rika vs Portuguesa MS?
Kosta Rika 2-0 Portuguesa MS in the Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kosta Rika vs Portuguesa MS?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kosta Rika win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kosta Rika 44%, draw 22%, Portuguesa MS 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kosta Rika), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Kosta Rika)
✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →