Uruguay U23 0-1 Şili U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
3%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Şili U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uruguay U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Şili U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2023 Şili U23 Şili U23 1-0 HT 1-0 Uruguay U23 Uruguay U23 PANAM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay U23
0-1
AWAY Şili U23
0.94 xG 1.10
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
291 Passes 114
80% Pass Accuracy 58%
26 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uruguay U23 vs Şili U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şili U23 edged past Uruguay U23 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Uruguay U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Uruguay U23 had 65% of the ball to Şili U23's 35%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 0.94 to 1.10.

What was the final score of Uruguay U23 vs Şili U23?

Uruguay U23 0-1 Şili U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay U23 vs Şili U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uruguay U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Uruguay U23 42%, draw 23%, Şili U23 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Uruguay U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uruguay U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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