28/01/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-0
USM El Harrach vs El Eulma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
80%
26%
Draw
14%
15%
Away Win
6%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
USM El Harrach v El Eulma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
USM El Harrach
EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
El Eulma
EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% /
+4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-2%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.64/2.40
-12%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+5%
/
-21%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
341 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
309 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.7
POST-MATCH
USM El Harrach vs El Eulma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
USM El Harrach ran out comfortable winners over El Eulma 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs El Eulma?
USM El Harrach 4-0 El Eulma in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs El Eulma?
Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 59%, draw 26%, El Eulma 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach)
✗ Under 2.5
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CZYR2
More Algeria - 2nd Division
28 Jan 2024