USM Alger 3-1 MC Magra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
3.05
No
64%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.34
2-3 Goals
46%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
4.71
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
29%
+7.1pp
64%
BTTS No
71%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Magra EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.81/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.55
+1% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
1W-2D-3L
AWAY MC Magra
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.07.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
29.11.2022 MC Magra MC Magra 1-1 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
29.04.2022 MC Magra MC Magra 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
03.01.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 4-1 HT 2-1 MC Magra MC Magra CZYR
27.07.2021 MC Magra MC Magra 2-1 HT 2-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
08.06.2021 MC Magra MC Magra 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYRLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
3-1
AWAY MC Magra
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs MC Magra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger got the better of MC Magra 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Alger had 54% of the ball to MC Magra's 46%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Magra led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for USM Alger and 1.17 for MC Magra.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs MC Magra?

USM Alger 3-1 MC Magra in the Algeria - 1st Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs MC Magra?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 61%, draw 23%, MC Magra 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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