Heredia 3-3 Juventud Pinulteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemela - Premier League Apertura, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.2pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.0pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heredia The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud Pinulteca The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
468 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Heredia vs Juventud Pinulteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heredia and Juventud Pinulteca shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Heredia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Heredia vs Juventud Pinulteca?

Heredia 3-3 Juventud Pinulteca in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heredia vs Juventud Pinulteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heredia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Heredia 45%, draw 19%, Juventud Pinulteca 36%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Heredia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAP More Guatemela - Premier League Apertura
28 Jan 2024
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