East Bengal 3-2 Odisha FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 28 Jan 2024

East Bengal
3-2 HT 0-1
Odisha FC
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super Cup – 2024

East Bengal vs Odisha FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
3.49
6+ Goals
8%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 34% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Bengal v Odisha FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

East Bengal vs Odisha FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Bengal
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Odisha FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.99 xG 1.42
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
296 Passes 339
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.12.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-0 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
07.01.2023 Odisha FC Odisha FC 3-1 HT 2-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
18.11.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 2-4 HT 2-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
07.02.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 1-2 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
30.11.2021 Odisha FC Odisha FC 6-4 HT 3-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
27.02.2021 Odisha FC Odisha FC 6-5 HT 1-2 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs Odisha FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Bengal squeezed past Odisha FC 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had East Bengal as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odisha FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for East Bengal and 3.50 for Odisha FC.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs Odisha FC?

East Bengal 3-2 Odisha FC in the India - Super Cup on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs Odisha FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Bengal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 41%, draw 25%, Odisha FC 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Bengal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (East Bengal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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