Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-2 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 28 Jan 2024

Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-2 HT 0-1
AZ (K)
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) v AZ (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-34% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-2 AZ (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-2
AWAY AZ (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) squeezed past Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; AZ (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 49% of the ball to AZ (K)'s 51%, shots finished 12-15.

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-2 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Barendrecht (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 38%, draw 24%, AZ (K) 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior Barendrecht (K)) ✗ Under 2.5
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