Eastern 1-1 Southern District RSA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Sapling Cup, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
50%
-12.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +75%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Southern District RSA
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2023 Eastern Eastern 0-1 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
14.01.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-2 HT 1-2 Eastern Eastern HK1
20.11.2021 Eastern Eastern 0-1 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
30.04.2021 Eastern Eastern 2-1 HT 1-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
05.03.2021 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-5 HT 0-3 Eastern Eastern HK1
23.09.2020 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastern Eastern HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern
1-1
AWAY Southern District RSA
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Eastern vs Southern District RSA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern and Southern District RSA couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Eastern had 63% of the ball to Southern District RSA's 37%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastern had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Eastern and 0.67 for Southern District RSA.

What was the final score of Eastern vs Southern District RSA?

Eastern 1-1 Southern District RSA in the Hong Kong - Sapling Cup on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs Southern District RSA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eastern 38%, draw 25%, Southern District RSA 37%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastern) ✗ BTTS No
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