Kazma 1-0 Burgan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Emir Cup, 28 Jan 2024

Kazma
1-0 HT 0-0
Burgan
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.61
No
58%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.4pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.0pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazma EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgan EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazma
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Burgan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
20.03.2023 Kazma Kazma 1-1 HT 0-1 Burgan Burgan KUVFK
28.01.2023 Kazma Kazma 2-0 Burgan Burgan KUVEK
23.11.2020 Kazma Kazma 1-1 HT 0-0 Burgan Burgan KUV
POST-MATCH Kazma vs Burgan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kazma squeezed past Burgan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kazma as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kazma had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kazma and 0.67 for Burgan.

What was the final score of Kazma vs Burgan?

Kazma 1-0 Burgan in the Kuwait - Emir Cup on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazma vs Burgan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kazma win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kazma 57%, draw 23%, Burgan 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kazma), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kazma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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