Cafetaleros de Chiapas 1-0 La Piedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cafetaleros de Chiapas EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY La Piedad EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Cafetaleros de Chiapas vs La Piedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cafetaleros de Chiapas nicked a narrow win over La Piedad 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cafetaleros de Chiapas found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Cafetaleros de Chiapas vs La Piedad?

Cafetaleros de Chiapas 1-0 La Piedad in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cafetaleros de Chiapas vs La Piedad?

Before kick-off our model rated an La Piedad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cafetaleros de Chiapas 31%, draw 30%, La Piedad 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (La Piedad), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Piedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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