28/01/2024
·
15:40
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
CFC Hertha vs Lichtenberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
28%
Draw
30%
32%
Away Win
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CFC Hertha v Lichtenberg — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
CFC Hertha
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lichtenberg
EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
63%
Ball Possession
37%
14
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
311 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
300 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
CFC Hertha vs Lichtenberg Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
CFC Hertha
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Lichtenberg
5.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
44%
Ball Possession
56%
9
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
8
1
Corners
4
The Meetings
31.07.2022
Lichtenberg
1-5
HT 0-4
CFC Hertha
HAZ
1-5
HT 0-4
CFC Hertha
HAZ
POST-MATCH
CFC Hertha vs Lichtenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
CFC Hertha and Lichtenberg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of CFC Hertha vs Lichtenberg?
CFC Hertha 2-2 Lichtenberg in the Germany - Oberliga on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CFC Hertha vs Lichtenberg?
Before kick-off our model rated a CFC Hertha win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CFC Hertha 40%, draw 28%, Lichtenberg 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CFC Hertha) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (CFC Hertha)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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