Club Olimpia 2-2 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒02:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.67/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.09
+26% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
24.07.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-2 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
16.04.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
09.03.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
13.11.2022 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
16.09.2022 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
2-2
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia and Nacional Asuncion couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 46% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 54%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Club Olimpia and 1.17 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?

Club Olimpia 2-2 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 38%, draw 29%, Nacional Asuncion 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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