Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 1-0 Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor EU Bookmakers 24%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.35
+33% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
1-0
AWAY Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor nicked a narrow win over Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor had 48% of the ball to Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor's 52%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor?

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 1-0 Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 1.Grup on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 45%, draw 24%, Karabük İdmanyurdu Spor 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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