Sapanca Gençlikspor 0-1 Kelkit Hürriyet SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+9.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sapanca Gençlikspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelkit Hürriyet SK EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
2.75/2.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.76
+116% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Sapanca Gençlikspor vs Kelkit Hürriyet SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelkit Hürriyet SK edged past Sapanca Gençlikspor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Kelkit Hürriyet SK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Sapanca Gençlikspor vs Kelkit Hürriyet SK?

Sapanca Gençlikspor 0-1 Kelkit Hürriyet SK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sapanca Gençlikspor vs Kelkit Hürriyet SK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kelkit Hürriyet SK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sapanca Gençlikspor 35%, draw 25%, Kelkit Hürriyet SK 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kelkit Hürriyet SK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kelkit Hürriyet SK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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