Alanya Kestelspor 4-2 Sebat Gençlik SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.95
No
64%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
47%
-11.6pp
64%
BTTS No
53%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanya Kestelspor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebat Gençlik SK EU Bookmakers 32%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-24% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanya Kestelspor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sebat Gençlik SK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Sebat Gençlik SK Sebat Gençlik SK 1-1 HT 0-0 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor S3-4
POST-MATCH Alanya Kestelspor vs Sebat Gençlik SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanya Kestelspor saw off Sebat Gençlik SK 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Alanya Kestelspor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Alanya Kestelspor vs Sebat Gençlik SK?

Alanya Kestelspor 4-2 Sebat Gençlik SK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanya Kestelspor vs Sebat Gençlik SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanya Kestelspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alanya Kestelspor 38%, draw 27%, Sebat Gençlik SK 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alanya Kestelspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alanya Kestelspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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