Kallithea 1-0 Egaleo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Superlig 2, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.18
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
79%
-19.5pp
23%
Draw
12%
+10.7pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kallithea EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Egaleo EU Bookmakers 11%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.08
-54% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +68%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kallithea
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Egaleo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
22.01.2006 Egaleo Egaleo 1-0 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
27.08.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 1-1 HT 0-1 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
09.04.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 1-0 HT 0-0 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
05.12.2004 Egaleo Egaleo 1-2 HT 1-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
13.12.2003 Kallithea Kallithea 0-1 HT 0-0 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
06.04.2003 Kallithea Kallithea 2-1 HT 2-1 Egaleo Egaleo YUN
POST-MATCH Kallithea vs Egaleo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kallithea edged past Egaleo 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kallithea as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kallithea had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kallithea and 0.83 for Egaleo.

What was the final score of Kallithea vs Egaleo?

Kallithea 1-0 Egaleo in the Greece - Superlig 2 on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kallithea vs Egaleo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kallithea win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kallithea 60%, draw 23%, Egaleo 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kallithea), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kallithea) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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