Cobresal 1-2 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -77%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobresal
3W-1D-2L
AWAY La Serena
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.72 xG 1.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 1-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
12.03.2022 La Serena La Serena 2-3 HT 1-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
10.10.2021 La Serena La Serena 2-1 HT 2-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
22.05.2021 Cobresal Cobresal 2-0 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
18.11.2020 Cobresal Cobresal 1-2 HT 1-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
08.02.2020 La Serena La Serena 1-2 HT 1-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
1-2
AWAY La Serena
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 1
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Serena edged past Cobresal 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cobresal at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cobresal had 50% of the ball to La Serena's 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cobresal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cobresal and 1.33 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs La Serena?

Cobresal 1-2 La Serena in the Chile - Cup on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobresal win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 48%, draw 26%, La Serena 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cobresal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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