Mekelle Kenema 2-2 Arba Minch Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
32%
Draw
33%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.9pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 33%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.48/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/0.25
+132% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelle Kenema and Arba Minch Kenema couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Mekelle Kenema 2-2 Arba Minch Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelle Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelle Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mekelle Kenema 39%, draw 32%, Arba Minch Kenema 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mekelle Kenema) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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