Punjab FC 1-2 Jamshedpur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 28 Jan 2025

Punjab FC
1-2 HT 0-1
Jamshedpur
📅28/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

Punjab FC vs Jamshedpur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
46%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.58
6+ Goals
7%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.2pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.4pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Punjab FC v Jamshedpur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
– Crosses 18.0
– Yellow Cards 1.8

Punjab FC vs Jamshedpur Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Punjab FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Jamshedpur
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 1.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
256 Passes 292
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.12.2024 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-1 HT 1-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
15.02.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
22.10.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 0-0 HT 0-0 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL

Punjab FC 1-2 Jamshedpur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Punjab FC
1-2
AWAY Jamshedpur
0.81 xG 0.49
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
230 Passes 194
67% Pass Accuracy 63%
11 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Punjab FC vs Jamshedpur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamshedpur nicked a narrow win over Punjab FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Punjab FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Punjab FC had 54% of the ball to Jamshedpur's 46%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.81 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jamshedpur led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Punjab FC and 2.00 for Jamshedpur.

What was the final score of Punjab FC vs Jamshedpur?

Punjab FC 1-2 Jamshedpur in the India - Super League on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Punjab FC vs Jamshedpur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Punjab FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Punjab FC 44%, draw 35%, Jamshedpur 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Punjab FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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