Al-Qasim 2-3 Al Mosul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 28 Jan 2026

📅28/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
14%
3.8
Away
68%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.74
Over 2.5
61%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
2%
X/2
23%
X/X
3%
2/1
5%
2/2
42%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+3.4pp
14%
Draw
23%
-9.0pp
68%
Away Win
63%
+5.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
54%
-14.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
46%
+14.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mosul EU Bookmakers 67%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al-Qasim vs Al Mosul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mosul nicked a narrow win over Al-Qasim 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Mosul as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Al-Qasim vs Al Mosul?

Al-Qasim 2-3 Al Mosul in the Iraq - Premier League on 28/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qasim vs Al Mosul?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Mosul win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Al-Qasim 17%, draw 14%, Al Mosul 68%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Mosul), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Mosul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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