Mgarr United FC 0-3 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 28 Jan 2026

📅28/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mgarr United FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
279 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mgarr United FC
0-3
AWAY Mosta
30% Ball Possession 70%
2 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mgarr United FC vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta swept aside Mgarr United FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mosta as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mgarr United FC had 30% of the ball to Mosta's 70%, shots finished 2-17.

What was the final score of Mgarr United FC vs Mosta?

Mgarr United FC 0-3 Mosta in the Malta - FA Cup on 28/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mgarr United FC vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mosta win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mgarr United FC 27%, draw 23%, Mosta 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mosta), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mosta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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