Slavia Prag 2-3 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 31%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.96
+60% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Prag
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sparta Prag
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
13.05.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-2 HT 1-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
03.05.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-2 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEKK
15.04.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-3 HT 0-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
23.10.2022 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 4-0 HT 4-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
15.05.2022 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 1-2 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Prag
2-3
AWAY Sparta Prag
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Slavia Prag vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag edged past Slavia Prag 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Slavia Prag at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Slavia Prag had 56% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 44%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Slavia Prag and 1.50 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Slavia Prag vs Sparta Prag?

Slavia Prag 2-3 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Prag vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Slavia Prag 47%, draw 28%, Sparta Prag 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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