AFC Totton 4-4 Dorchester Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-14.9pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 18%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
2.16/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.29
+4% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Dorchester Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton and Dorchester Town couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Totton at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Dorchester Town?

AFC Totton 4-4 Dorchester Town in the England - Non League Premier on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Dorchester Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 51%, draw 23%, Dorchester Town 26%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Totton), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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