İspanya (K) 2-0 Fransa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.34
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransa (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Fransa (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.27 xG 1.15
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
428 Passes 247
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2019 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) HAZ
18.09.2017 Fransa (K) Fransa (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya (K)
2-0
AWAY Fransa (K)
1.39 xG 0.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
428 Passes 249
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İspanya (K) vs Fransa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya (K) got the better of Fransa (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had İspanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, İspanya (K) had 60% of the ball to Fransa (K)'s 40%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.39 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fransa (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for İspanya (K) and 2.50 for Fransa (K).

What was the final score of İspanya (K) vs Fransa (K)?

İspanya (K) 2-0 Fransa (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya (K) vs Fransa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split İspanya (K) 55%, draw 22%, Fransa (K) 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya (K)) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
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