Mt Druitt Town 2-1 Bankstown City Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Yeni South Wales 2, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
47%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No Pick
65%
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
32%
4-5
23%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
18%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.0pp
20%
Draw
27%
-7.0pp
47%
Away Win
34%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mt Druitt Town The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bankstown City Lions The Market 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
241 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mt Druitt Town vs Bankstown City Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mt Druitt Town edged past Bankstown City Lions 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bankstown City Lions at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mt Druitt Town vs Bankstown City Lions?

Mt Druitt Town 2-1 Bankstown City Lions in the Australia - Yeni South Wales 2 on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mt Druitt Town vs Bankstown City Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bankstown City Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mt Druitt Town 33%, draw 20%, Bankstown City Lions 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bankstown City Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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