Qabala 0-4 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 28 Feb 2024

Qabala
0-4 HT 0-0
Karabağ
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✓
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Qabala vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.78
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
60%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+7.7pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.0pp
60%
Away Win
73%
-12.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qabala v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 77%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
0.49/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.65
-18% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -29%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
237 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Qabala vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Karabağ
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.12.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 3-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
25.09.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-2 HT 0-2 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
08.05.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 3-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
05.03.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-3 HT 1-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
19.12.2022 Qabala Qabala 1-0 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERK
13.12.2022 Karabağ Karabağ 1-0 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ ran out comfortable winners over Qabala 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Qabala and 2.00 for Karabağ.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Karabağ?

Qabala 0-4 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Qabala 18%, draw 22%, Karabağ 60%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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